Template:Arrhenius-weibull example

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Arrhenius-Weibull Example


Consider the following times-to-failure data at three different stress levels.



6stresstimefailed.gif



The data set was analyzed jointly and with a complete MLE solution over the entire data set, using ReliaSoft's ALTA. The analysis yields:


[math]\displaystyle{ \widehat{\beta }=4.2915822 }[/math]



[math]\displaystyle{ \widehat{B}=1861.6186657 }[/math]



[math]\displaystyle{ \widehat{C}=58.9848692 }[/math]



Once the parameters of the model are estimated, extrapolation and other life measures can be directly obtained using the appropriate equations. Using the MLE method, confidence bounds for all estimates can be obtained. Note in Fig. 10 that the more distant the accelerated stress from the operating stress, the greater the uncertainty of the extrapolation. The degree of uncertainty is reflected in the confidence bounds. (General theory and calculations for confidence intervals are presented in Appendix A. Specific calculations for confidence bounds on the Arrhenius model are presented in Appendix 6.A following this chapter.)

Comparison of the confidence bounds for different use stress levels.