Template:Bounds on Parameters.LRCB.FMB.ED

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Bounds on Parameters

For one-parameter distributions such as the exponential, the likelihood confidence bounds are calculated by finding values for [math]\displaystyle{ \theta }[/math] that satisfy:

[math]\displaystyle{ -2\cdot \text{ln}\left( \frac{L(\theta )}{L(\hat{\theta })} \right)=\chi _{\alpha ;1}^{2} }[/math]

This equation can be rewritten as:

[math]\displaystyle{ L(\theta )=L(\hat{\theta })\cdot {{e}^{\tfrac{-\chi _{\alpha ;1}^{2}}{2}}} }[/math]

For complete data, the likelihood function for the exponential distribution is given by:

[math]\displaystyle{ L(\lambda )=\underset{i=1}{\overset{N}{\mathop \prod }}\,f({{x}_{i}};\lambda )=\underset{i=1}{\overset{N}{\mathop \prod }}\,\lambda \cdot {{e}^{-\lambda \cdot {{x}_{i}}}} }[/math]

where the [math]\displaystyle{ {{x}_{i}} }[/math] values represent the original time-to-failure data. For a given value of [math]\displaystyle{ \alpha }[/math], values for [math]\displaystyle{ \lambda }[/math] can be found which represent the maximum and minimum values that satisfy Eqn. (lratio3). These represent the confidence bounds for the parameters at a confidence level [math]\displaystyle{ \delta , }[/math] where [math]\displaystyle{ \alpha =\delta }[/math] for two-sided bounds and [math]\displaystyle{ \alpha =2\delta -1 }[/math] for one-sided.